RESTIANA, Riri (2018) Determinants Of Exchange Rate In Six Asean Members 2005-2014. Skripsi thesis, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman.

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Abstract

This research is about of the factors that influence the exchange rates of six ASEAN countries. The purpose of this study is to analyze the variables that affect exchange rates, namely net exports, inflation, and FDI in six ASEAN countries. This type of research is descriptive research with a quantitative approach. The objects in this study were six ASEAN countries, namely Brunei Darussalam, Malaysia, Singapore, Philippines, Thailand, and Indonesia during the period 2005-2014. The type of data used in this study is secondary data obtained from other parties in the form of data that is ready for processing. Based on the results of research and data analysis using panel data regression shows that: the results of the Chow test and Hausman test using the Fixed Effect Model method, so that the net export variable has no significant effect on the exchange rate, the inflation variable has a significant effect on the exchange rate, and variables FDI has a significant influence on the exchange rate. The implications and conclusions above are that the government is expected to maintain economic conditions to remain stable so as to increase confidence in market participants, as well as provide socialization to the public on the importance of using products and investing domestically so that currency exchange rate movements are maintained stable. Policy efforts are needed to increase exports of both oil and gas and non-oil and gas, considering that foreign exchange from exports is still very necessary to increase foreign exchange supply. In the community import activities are expected to reduce imports, so that the number of exports and imports remain balanced. High imports will cause domestic productivity to decline so that unemployment will occur more and per capita income will decrease. The decline in per capita income will reduce people's purchasing power.

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