RAMADHANI, Ailsyahda Nur (2026) Analisis Respon Indonesia Dalam Menghadapi Kebijakan Tarif Trump Tahun 2025. Skripsi thesis, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman.

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Abstract

Pemerintahan Donald Trump pada tahun 2025 menerapkan kebijakan tarif proteksionis yang berdampak signifikan pada mitra dagang global, termasuk Indonesia. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis respon pemerintah Indonesia dalam menghadapi kebijakan tarif tersebut, yang mencakup tarif new baseline 10%, tarif resiprokal 19%, dan tarif sektoral 25-50%. Dengan menggunakan kerangka New Trade Theory dari Paul Krugman, penelitian ini memfokuskan analisis pada upaya adaptasi melalui komponen skala ekonomi (economies of scale) dan efek jaringan (network effect) dengan metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah kualitatif dengan studi kasus melalui analisis dokumen dan konten. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa Indonesia merespon secara cepat melalui negosiasi bilateral yang berhasil menurunkan tarif resiprokal dari 32% menjadi 19% melalui Agreement on Reciprocal Trade. Respon utama yang diterapkan pemerintah adalah diversifikasi pasar (market diversification) dengan mengalihkan fokus ekspor ke kawasan non-tradisional seperti Timur Tengah dan Afrika, serta melakukan promosi dagang intensif di berbagai sektor. Selain itu, pemerintah mendorong diferensiasi produk melalui hilirisasi industri dan peningkatan standar mutu untuk mempertahankan daya saing. Meskipun demikian, implementasi upaya ini masih menghadapi hambatan berupa ketergantungan pada pasar tradisional (path dependence), keterbatasan kapasitas UMKM, dan hambatan non-tarif di negara tujuan baru. Kata Kunci: Tarif Trump, Indonesia, New Trade Theory, Diversifikasi Pasar, Diferensiasi Produk. Abstract Donald Trump's administration in 2025 implemented protectionist tariff policies that significantly impacted global trading partners, including Indonesia. This study aims to analyze the Indonesian government's response to these tariff policies, which include a 10% new baseline tariff, a 19% reciprocal tariff, and a 25-50% sectoral tariff. Using Paul Krugman's New Trade Theory framework, this research focuses on adaptation efforts through economies of scale and network effect components. The research method employed is qualitative with a case study approach through document and content analysis. The results show that Indonesia responded swiftly through bilateral negotiations that successfully reduced the reciprocal tariff from 32% to 19% under the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade. The primary strategy implemented by the government is market diversification by shifting export focus to non-traditional regions such as the Middle East and Africa, alongside intensive trade promotion across various sectors. Furthermore, the government encouraged product differentiation through industrial downstreaming and improving quality standards to maintain competitiveness. Nonetheless, the implementation of these strategies still faces obstacles such as path dependence on traditional markets, limited capacity of MSMEs, and non-tariff barriers in new destination countries.

Item Type:	Thesis (Skripsi)
Nomor Inventaris:	F26103
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Tarif Trump (Trump Tariffs), New Trade Theory (New Trade Theory), Diversifikasi Pasar (Market Diversification), Diferensiasi Produk (Product Differentiation), Indonesia
Subjects:	I > I232 International economic relations
Divisions:	Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik > S1 Ilmu Hubungan Internasional
Depositing User:	Mrs. Ailsyahda Nur Ramadhani
Date Deposited:	08 May 2026 02:28
Last Modified:	08 May 2026 02:28
URI:	http://repository.unsoed.ac.id:443/id/eprint/41020

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